Weekly annualized death rates. 2019, 2020 other deaths, and covid
Week 2019 0-24 0-24 C 0-24 2019 25-44 25-44 C 25-44 2019 45-64 45-64 C 45-64 2019 65-74 65-74 C 65-74 2019 75+ 75+ C 75+ 2019 All ages All ages C All ages
11/28 18 14 0 43 42 3 161 142 27 169 160 43 480 441 134 871 800 208
11/21 18 15 0 43 44 3 162 149 25 175 167 38 485 456 122 882 831 189
11/14 19 17 0 43 45 2 163 157 21 171 170 31 482 461 99 878 850 153
11/07 18 17 0 44 49 2 165 159 17 173 170 26 475 468 80 874 863 126
10/31 17 16 0 45 46 2 157 156 14 164 169 21 466 450 64 849 837 101
10/24 18 16 0 43 46 2 156 158 13 166 164 18 466 454 55 848 837 88
10/17 18 17 0 43 47 1 159 156 12 168 165 17 465 443 47 853 828 76
10/10 18 18 0 42 50 1 156 164 12 163 169 15 456 455 42 834 857 71
10/03 18 19 0 44 48 2 157 160 10 160 169 14 447 447 37 825 843 63
09/26 17 18 0 44 50 2 156 162 11 163 170 14 448 460 37 828 859 64
09/19 19 19 0 42 49 2 154 162 11 156 170 15 442 448 36 813 847 64
09/12 18 20 0 41 50 2 153 164 14 159 166 16 440 444 37 810 843 70
09/05 19 19 0 46 53 2 157 166 14 156 170 17 437 445 43 814 852 76
08/29 18 20 0 43 53 2 154 166 17 159 168 21 429 453 49 803 860 89
08/22 18 20 0 44 52 3 153 167 20 157 175 23 430 460 53 801 875 99
08/15 18 20 0 44 54 4 151 170 22 159 176 25 429 459 61 801 879 113
08/08 18 20 0 45 53 4 155 174 24 158 172 28 436 453 66 812 872 122
08/01 18 19 0 43 55 4 154 171 26 158 174 30 434 455 68 807 874 129
07/25 19 21 0 45 55 5 156 171 26 157 173 30 434 456 67 811 876 128
07/18 19 20 0 43 57 5 157 171 23 160 172 25 433 455 58 811 875 112
07/11 19 22 0 43 54 4 159 177 19 158 176 20 437 448 46 816 878 90
07/04 19 21 0 46 54 3 160 174 15 159 170 15 438 447 37 822 865 71
06/27 20 20 0 42 54 2 156 167 13 160 167 13 442 447 32 820 855 60
06/20 18 20 0 44 53 2 156 167 12 162 168 12 442 438 34 821 847 60
06/13 19 21 0 42 51 2 156 167 13 163 166 14 447 436 37 827 842 66
06/06 19 21 0 45 55 2 161 169 14 162 164 17 448 434 46 835 843 79
05/30 20 19 0 44 54 2 158 162 16 160 164 20 446 438 58 828 837 96
05/23 18 19 0 42 53 3 158 167 19 165 165 23 460 447 69 843 851 113
05/16 18 19 0 41 52 3 158 166 22 163 168 28 461 460 90 841 865 144
05/09 18 19 0 41 52 4 161 171 27 163 169 36 456 460 108 840 870 175
05/02 18 18 0 44 52 4 158 165 30 167 173 41 460 471 130 848 878 206
04/25 17 19 0 42 50 4 159 169 38 165 173 48 459 502 151 842 914 242
04/18 18 17 0 42 48 6 161 169 44 165 179 56 470 520 161 855 933 268
04/11 18 19 0 43 51 7 161 178 47 169 191 57 480 545 143 871 983 254
04/04 18 17 0 42 48 6 166 179 34 171 189 37 492 541 81 889 974 157
03/28 18 18 0 42 47 2 163 170 11 171 180 11 496 521 25 889 936 50
03/21 18 18 0 41 47 0 167 169 2 173 183 2 498 501 5 896 918 9
03/14 17 18 0 43 46 0 168 169 0 178 183 0 503 501 0 909 917 1
03/07 17 17 0 44 47 0 171 173 0 181 185 0 506 511 0 919 934 1
02/29 19 19 0 43 46 0 171 172 0 179 183 0 499 508 0 910 928 0
02/22 18 17 0 40 46 0 170 170 0 176 181 0 506 508 0 911 922 0
02/15 17 18 0 41 45 0 170 170 0 177 182 0 505 506 0 910 921 0
02/08 18 19 0 42 45 0 171 173 0 180 182 0 508 511 0 919 930 0
02/01 17 18 0 40 44 0 172 169 0 176 183 0 509 507 0 913 921 0

This data is from death certificates to CDC which can be delayed 1 to 8 weeks. Left off 4 weeks, but last weeks shown for 2020 could be a little incomplete yet. Updated weekly at CDC on Wednesday; here, Thursday.

Detailed age table and excess death %s
Only weeks in virus period are included, i.e. after 3/14/20 thru 4 weeks ago. "Other causes" are from 2020, xtra% compares to corresponding 2019 weeks.
0-1y 1-4y 5-14y 15-24y 25-34y 35-44y 45-54y 55-64y 65-74y 75-84y 85+y All ages 65- 74 % of D 75+ % of D
D/100k annualized
Oth in all pop 5.5 1.01 1.64 11 22 30 51 116 173 209 259 879
Cvd in all pop 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.2 0.85 2.19 5.82 14 25 32 37 117
Within age group
Oth in age grp 461 21 13 83 155 233 413 898 1,806 4,293 12,863 879
Cvd in age grp 1.15 0.15 0.17 1.53 6.06 17 47 111 261 653 1,824 117
Stats w-in age
Pop (M) 3.92 15.66 40.99 42.69 45.93 41.65 40.88 42.44 31.49 15.97 6.61 328.23
% died other 0.328 0.015 0.009 0.059 0.11 0.166 0.294 0.639 1.285 3.054 9.152 0.625
% from covid 0.001 0.0 0.0 0.001 0.004 0.012 0.033 0.079 0.186 0.465 1.298 0.083
%xtra dths cvd 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.8 3.9 7.4 11.3 12.3 14.5 15.2 14.2 13.3
%xtra dths this yr -> -> -> 3.9 -> 24.5 -> 17.3 20.0 16.5 <- 17.5
Death Counts
Other Causes 12,845 2,348 3,836 25,219 50,513 69,066 120,024 271,146 404,611 487,785 604,970 2,052,363
Covid Deaths 32 17 49 466 1,979 5,121 13,597 33,391 58,582 74,214 85,793 273,241
Week
2020-11-28 0 0 2 13 52 163 417 1,305 2,727 3,920 4,650 13,249 21 65
2020-11-21 0 1 2 13 54 136 413 1,205 2,442 3,552 4,233 12,051 20 65
2020-11-14 0 0 1 7 45 110 366 992 1,967 2,933 3,360 9,781 20 64
2020-11-07 1 0 1 8 44 106 294 779 1,690 2,417 2,719 8,059 21 64
2020-10-31 0 0 3 12 35 103 250 671 1,346 1,886 2,172 6,478 21 63
2020-10-24 1 0 1 5 29 79 229 585 1,146 1,619 1,913 5,607 20 63
2020-10-17 0 0 0 4 22 73 191 550 1,063 1,385 1,585 4,873 22 61
2020-10-10 1 0 0 6 25 69 209 536 989 1,324 1,387 4,546 22 60
2020-10-03 1 0 1 4 32 73 196 454 920 1,083 1,253 4,017 23 58
2020-09-26 1 0 1 5 31 82 214 511 922 1,123 1,213 4,103 22 57
2020-09-19 1 0 1 8 31 67 188 528 947 1,116 1,197 4,084 23 57
2020-09-12 3 0 1 12 41 99 247 628 1,023 1,187 1,206 4,447 23 54
2020-09-05 0 0 0 11 31 89 248 651 1,091 1,391 1,371 4,883 22 57
2020-08-29 0 0 1 12 37 101 284 775 1,325 1,512 1,605 5,652 23 55
2020-08-22 0 2 1 18 49 124 386 876 1,484 1,667 1,710 6,317 23 53
2020-08-15 1 2 0 20 56 171 417 999 1,615 1,982 1,929 7,192 22 54
2020-08-08 0 1 3 15 63 177 468 1,076 1,802 2,143 2,052 7,800 23 54
2020-08-01 1 0 5 21 61 198 504 1,182 1,929 2,200 2,151 8,252 23 53
2020-07-25 0 0 3 26 84 221 516 1,142 1,920 2,153 2,107 8,172 23 52
2020-07-18 1 0 2 23 100 193 459 1,031 1,601 1,828 1,905 7,143 22 52
2020-07-11 3 1 3 20 72 204 369 844 1,263 1,480 1,482 5,741 22 52
2020-07-04 2 0 2 20 68 148 321 628 972 1,082 1,260 4,503 22 52
2020-06-27 3 2 0 14 34 92 262 546 801 948 1,104 3,806 21 54
2020-06-20 0 1 0 10 32 101 238 519 760 957 1,200 3,818 20 56
2020-06-13 1 0 1 7 52 101 257 583 870 1,061 1,283 4,216 21 56
2020-06-06 1 2 0 6 40 104 298 588 1,073 1,262 1,644 5,018 21 58
2020-05-30 0 1 0 11 38 103 308 709 1,279 1,539 2,148 6,136 21 60
2020-05-23 0 0 0 6 61 114 328 862 1,450 1,852 2,524 7,197 20 61
2020-05-16 1 1 3 11 58 143 418 1,010 1,808 2,331 3,400 9,184 20 62
2020-05-09 2 1 3 19 58 172 462 1,272 2,293 2,906 4,002 11,190 20 62
2020-05-02 1 0 3 13 79 203 515 1,401 2,632 3,492 4,829 13,168 20 63
2020-04-25 2 0 1 23 72 212 696 1,753 3,055 4,184 5,467 15,465 20 62
2020-04-18 0 0 0 17 122 282 796 2,019 3,556 4,619 5,684 17,095 21 60
2020-04-11 1 1 2 25 110 307 853 2,177 3,623 4,417 4,693 16,209 22 56
2020-04-04 1 0 0 14 115 266 692 1,472 2,342 2,672 2,470 10,044 23 51
2020-03-28 2 0 1 6 41 116 246 465 716 834 744 3,171 23 50
2020-03-21 0 1 1 1 5 19 42 67 140 157 141 574 24 52
2020-03-14 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 6 17 15 16 56 30 55
2020-03-07 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 5 11 7 11 36 31 50
2020-02-29 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 2 2 1 9 22 33
2020-02-22 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 4 25 25
2020-02-15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-02-08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
2020-02-01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Survival (aka Recovery3) Rates1, (known outcomes) Recent 4 weeks

From CDC Surveillance system covid case reports published month-end. Cases thru 2 weeks prior. Missing age2

Age Group Rptd Cases Hosp Deaths Dth with Hosp Hosp % Death % Recover % Estm Sick Rcv% R% w estm asymp
0 - 9 19,289 266 2 1 1.38% 0.01% 99.990% 99.98% 100.00%
10 - 19 59,463 437 10 4 0.73% 0.02% 99.983% 99.97% 100.00%
20 - 29 88,228 1,175 53 18 1.33% 0.06% 99.940% 99.90% 99.99%
30 - 39 69,579 1,692 111 51 2.43% 0.16% 99.840% 99.75% 99.98%
40 - 49 65,707 2,422 202 105 3.69% 0.31% 99.693% 99.51% 99.95%
50 - 59 64,478 3,935 538 299 6.10% 0.83% 99.166% 98.67% 99.88%
60 - 69 46,924 5,139 1,374 829 10.95% 2.93% 97.072% 95.34% 99.56%
70 - 79 28,031 5,771 2,383 1,398 20.59% 8.50% 91.499% 86.46% 98.73%
80+ 19,324 5,512 4,853 2,229 28.52% 25.11% 74.886% 60.02% 96.26%
All ages 461,854 26,370 9,530 4,935 5.71% 2.06% 97.937% 96.71% 99.69%
...prior 4 weeks
Age Group Rptd Cases Hosp Deaths Dth with Hosp Hosp % Death % Recover % Estm Sick Rcv% R% w estm asymp
0 - 9 15,767 293 10 1 1.86% 0.06% 99.937% 99.90% 99.99%
10 - 19 57,543 489 11 8 0.85% 0.02% 99.981% 99.97% 100.00%
20 - 29 85,657 1,224 54 31 1.43% 0.06% 99.937% 99.90% 99.99%
30 - 39 57,483 1,772 136 76 3.08% 0.24% 99.763% 99.64% 99.97%
40 - 49 53,159 2,562 357 195 4.82% 0.67% 99.328% 98.98% 99.90%
50 - 59 51,394 3,997 914 564 7.78% 1.78% 98.222% 97.31% 99.75%
60 - 69 36,626 5,237 2,173 1,266 14.30% 5.93% 94.067% 91.03% 99.16%
70 - 79 22,772 5,723 3,616 1,979 25.13% 15.88% 84.121% 75.99% 97.75%
80+ 17,807 5,337 6,461 2,633 29.97% 36.28% 63.717% 45.18% 94.87%
All ages 398,640 26,646 13,733 6,754 6.68% 3.44% 96.555% 94.79% 99.51%
...from beginning
Age Group Rptd Cases Hosp Deaths Dth with Hosp Hosp % Death % Recover % Estm Sick Rcv% R% w estm asymp
0 - 9 100,172 2,342 55 24 2.34% 0.05% 99.945% 99.93% 99.99%
10 - 19 270,790 3,591 95 64 1.33% 0.04% 99.965% 99.95% 100.00%
20 - 29 534,036 13,154 720 403 2.46% 0.13% 99.865% 99.83% 99.98%
30 - 39 449,107 21,697 1,976 1,339 4.83% 0.44% 99.560% 99.47% 99.95%
40 - 49 418,469 31,858 4,798 3,447 7.61% 1.15% 98.853% 98.62% 99.87%
50 - 59 405,091 50,082 12,409 9,185 12.36% 3.06% 96.937% 96.32% 99.66%
60 - 69 293,614 62,905 26,292 19,562 21.42% 8.95% 91.045% 89.27% 99.00%
70 - 79 179,660 62,635 38,943 27,341 34.86% 21.68% 78.324% 74.14% 97.58%
80+ 168,303 65,357 72,946 39,519 38.83% 43.34% 56.658% 50.21% 95.34%
All ages 2,821,210 313,705 158,255 100,895 11.12% 5.61% 94.391% 93.18% 99.36%
Survival Rates (best case assumption) Recent

Assume missing death indicator means did not die. Leave off additional 3 weeks to get more outcomes.

Age Group Rptd Cases Hosp Deaths Dth with Hosp Hosp % Death % Recover % Estm Sick Rcv% R% w estm asymp
0 - 9 31,846 410 10 2 1.29% 0.03% 99.969% 99.95% 100.00%
10 - 19 126,172 666 11 7 0.53% 0.01% 99.991% 99.99% 100.00%
20 - 29 198,357 1,751 54 30 0.88% 0.03% 99.973% 99.96% 100.00%
30 - 39 131,219 2,421 116 65 1.85% 0.09% 99.912% 99.86% 99.99%
40 - 49 122,001 3,452 341 181 2.83% 0.28% 99.720% 99.57% 99.96%
50 - 59 116,891 5,462 866 515 4.67% 0.74% 99.259% 98.86% 99.89%
60 - 69 81,500 7,025 2,153 1,238 8.62% 2.64% 97.358% 95.95% 99.62%
70 - 79 47,500 7,316 3,454 1,822 15.40% 7.27% 92.728% 88.85% 98.96%
80+ 34,132 6,643 6,290 2,502 19.46% 18.43% 81.572% 71.78% 97.36%
All ages 891,129 35,167 13,299 6,364 3.95% 1.49% 98.508% 97.71% 99.79%
...prior 4 weeks (best case assumption)
Age Group Rptd Cases Hosp Deaths Dth with Hosp Hosp % Death % Recover % Estm Sick Rcv% R% w estm asymp
0 - 9 35,878 542 5 0 1.51% 0.01% 99.986% 99.98% 100.00%
10 - 19 102,122 920 16 10 0.90% 0.02% 99.984% 99.98% 100.00%
20 - 29 185,505 2,867 75 41 1.55% 0.04% 99.960% 99.94% 99.99%
30 - 39 147,722 3,726 175 95 2.52% 0.12% 99.882% 99.83% 99.98%
40 - 49 133,983 4,857 414 258 3.63% 0.31% 99.691% 99.56% 99.96%
50 - 59 124,567 7,172 981 648 5.76% 0.79% 99.212% 98.88% 99.90%
60 - 69 83,363 8,642 2,156 1,474 10.37% 2.59% 97.414% 96.32% 99.66%
70 - 79 46,178 8,519 3,477 2,309 18.45% 7.53% 92.470% 89.28% 99.00%
80+ 32,200 7,682 6,037 3,062 23.86% 18.75% 81.252% 73.31% 97.50%
All ages 893,007 44,935 13,336 7,897 5.03% 1.49% 98.507% 97.87% 99.80%
...from beginning (best case assumption)
Age Group Rptd Cases Hosp Deaths Dth with Hosp Hosp % Death % Recover % Estm Sick Rcv% R% w estm asymp
0 - 9 160,212 3,210 54 24 2.00% 0.03% 99.966% 99.96% 100.00%
10 - 19 456,905 5,122 89 63 1.12% 0.02% 99.981% 99.98% 100.00%
20 - 29 984,848 20,628 677 388 2.09% 0.07% 99.931% 99.92% 99.99%
30 - 39 832,380 32,961 1,889 1,300 3.96% 0.23% 99.773% 99.73% 99.98%
40 - 49 774,121 46,202 4,669 3,380 5.97% 0.60% 99.397% 99.29% 99.93%
50 - 59 747,692 70,645 12,044 8,989 9.45% 1.61% 98.389% 98.13% 99.82%
60 - 69 521,600 84,427 25,365 19,027 16.19% 4.86% 95.137% 94.37% 99.47%
70 - 79 294,241 77,881 37,295 26,385 26.47% 12.67% 87.325% 85.33% 98.63%
80+ 256,604 76,106 69,452 37,952 29.66% 27.07% 72.934% 69.54% 97.15%
All ages 5,035,179 417,266 151,554 97,519 8.29% 3.01% 96.990% 96.45% 99.67%
Survival Rate by week
Week Rptd Cases Hosp Deaths Dth with Hosp Hosp % Death % Recover % Estm Sick Rcv% R% w estm asymp Known outcome Recover % Known outcome Death% Known outcome Cases Dth / Hosp %d at Home Dth% with Hosp
10/18 0 0 0 0 98.293% 1.71% 116,422
10/11 0 0 0 0 98.082% 1.92% 105,760
10/04 0 0 0 0 97.792% 2.21% 121,665
09/27 249,224 9,408 2,829 1,559 3.77% 1.14% 98.865% 98.23% 99.83% 97.603% 2.40% 118,007 0.30 45% 16.57%
09/20 216,108 9,302 2,863 1,771 4.30% 1.32% 98.675% 97.96% 99.81% 97.467% 2.53% 113,029 0.31 38% 19.04%
09/13 162,705 7,248 2,259 1,442 4.45% 1.39% 98.612% 97.88% 99.80% 97.260% 2.74% 82,432 0.31 36% 19.90%
09/06 263,092 9,209 5,348 1,592 3.50% 2.03% 97.967% 96.94% 99.71% 94.331% 5.67% 94,342 0.58 70% 17.29%
08/30 204,870 9,717 3,263 1,949 4.74% 1.59% 98.407% 97.64% 99.78% 97.002% 3.00% 108,837 0.34 40% 20.06%
08/23 256,979 11,851 3,878 2,142 4.61% 1.51% 98.491% 97.81% 99.79% 96.800% 3.20% 121,177 0.33 45% 18.07%
08/16 224,188 11,504 3,231 1,957 5.13% 1.44% 98.559% 97.97% 99.81% 97.023% 2.98% 108,520 0.28 39% 17.01%
08/09 206,970 11,863 2,964 1,849 5.73% 1.43% 98.568% 98.07% 99.82% 97.154% 2.85% 104,147 0.25 38% 15.59%
08/02 233,495 15,364 3,879 2,570 6.58% 1.66% 98.339% 97.87% 99.80% 96.631% 3.37% 115,124 0.25 34% 16.73%
07/26 227,993 12,687 3,421 2,285 5.56% 1.50% 98.500% 98.18% 99.83% 96.890% 3.11% 109,993 0.27 33% 18.01%
07/19 301,206 16,200 4,204 2,708 5.38% 1.40% 98.604% 98.40% 99.85% 97.134% 2.87% 146,662 0.26 36% 16.72%
07/12 212,131 11,961 3,102 2,143 5.64% 1.46% 98.538% 98.39% 99.85% 97.115% 2.89% 107,518 0.26 31% 17.92%
07/05 200,317 12,164 2,952 1,934 6.07% 1.47% 98.526% 98.42% 99.85% 97.339% 2.66% 110,932 0.24 34% 15.90%
06/28 283,658 34,733 10,821 7,710 12.24% 3.81% 96.185% 95.98% 99.62% 88.719% 11.28% 95,926 0.31 29% 22.20%
06/21 177,550 15,844 6,576 3,406 8.92% 3.70% 96.296% 96.14% 99.64% 93.653% 6.35% 103,606 0.42 48% 21.50%
06/14 186,653 40,818 13,252 11,660 21.87% 7.10% 92.900% 92.67% 99.31% 90.113% 9.89% 134,040 0.32 12% 28.57%
06/07 104,285 8,324 3,168 1,733 7.98% 3.04% 96.962% 96.90% 99.71% 94.969% 5.03% 62,964 0.38 45% 20.82%
05/31 201,685 9,192 6,464 2,128 4.56% 3.20% 96.795% 96.75% 99.70% 95.697% 4.30% 150,227 0.70 67% 23.15%
05/24 116,720 9,214 3,641 2,189 7.89% 3.12% 96.881% 96.87% 99.71% 93.495% 6.50% 55,973 0.40 40% 23.76%
05/17 136,136 11,126 4,918 2,761 8.17% 3.61% 96.387% 96.39% 99.66% 92.096% 7.90% 62,219 0.44 44% 24.82%
05/10 119,482 11,149 5,394 2,842 9.33% 4.51% 95.486% 95.49% 99.58% 90.533% 9.47% 56,977 0.48 47% 25.49%
05/03 128,558 13,492 7,567 3,714 10.49% 5.89% 94.114% 94.11% 99.45% 86.759% 13.24% 57,148 0.56 51% 27.53%
04/26 125,649 16,373 8,452 4,809 13.03% 6.73% 93.273% 93.27% 99.37% 85.534% 14.47% 58,425 0.52 43% 29.37%
04/19 139,618 24,079 12,795 8,235 17.25% 9.16% 90.836% 90.84% 99.14% 78.943% 21.06% 60,765 0.53 36% 34.20%
04/12 119,550 23,730 9,333 7,443 19.85% 7.81% 92.193% 92.19% 99.27% 79.637% 20.36% 45,833 0.39 20% 31.37%
04/05 110,101 22,085 7,509 6,287 20.06% 6.82% 93.180% 93.18% 99.36% 80.611% 19.39% 38,729 0.34 16% 28.47%
03/29 76,268 18,540 5,289 4,736 24.31% 6.93% 93.065% 93.07% 99.35% 80.394% 19.61% 26,977 0.29 10% 25.54%
03/22 35,668 6,707 1,538 1,379 18.80% 4.31% 95.688% 95.69% 99.60% 90.896% 9.10% 16,893 0.23 10% 20.56%
03/15 11,248 2,515 481 435 22.36% 4.28% 95.724% 95.72% 99.60% 93.622% 6.38% 7,541 0.19 10% 17.30%
03/08 1,980 556 100 92 28.08% 5.05% 94.949% 94.95% 99.53% 93.506% 6.49% 1,540 0.18 8% 16.55%
03/01 631 203 36 35 32.17% 5.71% 94.295% 94.29% 99.47% 92.913% 7.09% 508 0.18 3% 17.24%
02/23 161 49 14 13 30.43% 8.70% 91.304% 91.30% 99.19% 89.630% 10.37% 135 0.29 7% 26.53%
02/16 85 23 9 8 27.06% 10.59% 89.412% 89.41% 99.01% 86.364% 13.64% 66 0.39 11% 34.78%
02/09 57 14 4 3 24.56% 7.02% 92.982% 92.98% 99.34% 89.744% 10.26% 39 0.29 25% 21.43%
02/02 58 12 0 0 20.69% 0.00% 100.000% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000% 0.00% 46 0.00 0.00%
01/26 36 4 0 0 11.11% 0.00% 100.000% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000% 0.00% 24 0.00 0.00%
01/19 38 3 0 0 7.89% 0.00% 100.000% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000% 0.00% 20 0.00 0.00%
01/12 8 2 0 0 25.00% 0.00% 100.000% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000% 0.00% 6 0.00 0.00%
01/05 18 1 0 0 5.56% 0.00% 100.000% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000% 0.00% 16 0.00 0.00%
All 5,035,179 417,266 151,554 97,519 8.29% 3.01% 96.990% 96.45% 99.67% 94.391% 5.61% 2,821,210 0.36 36% 23.37%
Footnotes:
  1. Note on columns in the survivability tables:
    1a. To keep things simple and not to get too far afield in estimating, the calculated estimate of "recoverability w asymp considered" (R% w estm asymp), assumes same asymptomatic to sick ratio amongst those that get the virus across the board, specifically but maybe not correctly, across all age groups. I, epidemi-logically thinking this through, think the whole viral spectrum distribution, including % asymptomatic cases at the various ages, is skewed more asymptomatic in the groups that get less sick and less death in general from this virus, i.e. younger groups. So without numbers to the contrary (which I have not found yet) I would take the R% w estm asymp with a grain of salt and assume that it is less likely older people will have an asymptomatic case if they get this.
    1b. Estm Sick Rcv% - is also an estimate based on the reported cases / "sick cases" current ratio, which casts hospital cases back to a deemed sick number assuming that hosp/sick is a viral constant. That ratio was calculated for this dashboard from data early on when reported == sick. Again though, would think that the distribution ratio of sick to hospital, as with asymptomatic, is skewed higher in the groups that have less death per cases.
    1c. The rest of the columns in the survivalbility tables are not esimtates, namely they are calculated directly from the CDC data. ↩
  2. Some records had missing age. Therefore the counts are not in the age categories but were included in the "All" row.↩
  3. Recovery is considered, not dying in the literature and talking points. Not sure myself though these are exactly the same. Namely, that one may survive, but the toll on one's health otherwise may linger long after or be permanent. No ones knows for sure and that is the point of this note. If one wants to err on the side of caution in uncertain situations, try to avoid getting sick, especially the elderly. ↩

Informed layman's viewpoint. See "About>About" for descriptions and information. Estimates and data smoothing are used to present coherent numbers from period to period. Informational only. Should not be relied upon as your sole source for decision making.