"Active" - an estimated number of asymptomatic or presymptomatic people in the population based on the number of reported and hospitalized at the moment. Since they are not exhibiting symptoms they likely do not know they are contagious and thus unlikely to be quarantining. This calculation assumes all reported case (tested positive) actually do quarantine, sick or not. The state's color is indicative of how "hot" it is, i.e. the number of Active spreaders (contagious but not quarantining) per 100 in population.

In "hot" areas, or if you have been in one recently, masks and distancing are appropriate to protect others as well as yourself. Please pitch in. And remember no area is totally out of the woods yet as long as there are travellers.

Click and find your county! Also see Risk Maps

Remember we, as a country, did and can still collectively slow the spread when it is called for. "Alert zones" continue to pop-up. These are where people can help a lot by being more aware, smart and stepping up their social distancing for a time: masks, distance, wash hands often, and avoid crowds. See Risk Maps, both Hot and Alert Zones

Covid Dashboard

Welcome to the Covid Dashboard site.

Here you will find various measures and information put together based on current and recent changes in daily numbers including:

• Overall measures of the virus for the United States as a whole over the last 90 days
• Measures and assessments for the US over the last 3 weeks
• Measures and assessments for each state over the last 3 weeks
• Risk Maps showing one's personal risk in going out and about. The maps show all the counties in the US, with pop ups with more information on current and prior 3 weeks of status.
  • Hot: shows an estimate of the current active (not quarantined) infection per population
  • DeathRisk: show current annualized death rate per 100K population.
    This is current death count annualized so to be comparable with published yearly deaths by various causes.
• Measures and assessments of each county.
  These can be found by hovering over the county in the "Risk Maps". Or, in table form under "Counties"
• "Counties" has more detailed county level statistics for your personal information and use.

First time here? and want to know why this site came about...

Wondering, "Should I go out?" ?:

• CDC Deciding whether to go out
• Age and health are factors. For some stats by age see Graphs>...age
• For estimate of level of circulating infection by county: see RiskMaps>Hot
• Numbers and other info by county, state: see Counties

An idea maybe to put some thought into: Herd Immunuity: Use it? or Abuse it

Important Note/Disclaimer: This website was built from an informed layman viewpoint. It is not advice. It uses mathematical calculations, ballpark models and estimates to present coherent numbers over time in a meaningful way and to show current local status and relative progress, or not... Although, the measures and models may be only "in the ballpark" in absolute terms, it is good showing near-term relative change.

Projection Tracks (model estimate if we keep doing what we are doing as measured at start of track)

The projection uses the rate of change of the active pool and the current death rate from the standardized case count as measured on the start date of each projection track. The death rate is applied to the projected cases. The two dashed lines show what the projection tracks were 7 and 14 days ago. The 14 day line actually has several periods of projection going back 14 days each. The projection starts with actual values then uses simple mathematical model from there assuming no change in behavior, thus no change in the odds of infection except for effect of herd immunuity, which is simulated over time.

The death projection is based on cases and deaths will be reported in the future (see Days2death constant in About>Terminology. Currently 14 in this model). The EOY number in the header is the future number projected based on cases at EOY.

This measure is not intented as prediction but more to show the past track and be something sensitive and responsive to changes in our collective behavior near-term that affects the virus spread/containment. This way maybe we can have feedback on the effects of what we are doing or not doing, and to earlier see adverse change in our state or county that may require more social distancing diligence, rather than waiting for deaths to get attention.

Estimate of Active (Asymptomatic) Spreaders (Millions)
7 day Death rate per 100K (compare to Accident 52/100k)

Size of the infection pool driving new infections. Estimate of asymptomatic not quarantined.
Assumes all reported cases are quarantining, a 14 day infection period for the asymptomatic, and 3 pre-symptomatic infectious days for confirmed cases.

Daily new

EOY Death Projection (line is sum from counties)

EOY Death Projection

Estimate of Active (Asymptomatic) Spreaders (Millions)
7 day Death rate per 100K (compare to Accident 52/100k)

Daily new