See how the states are doing with the vaccine rollout Vaccine progress"
The projection uses the rate of change of the active pool and the current death rate from the standardized case count as measured on the start date of each projection track. The death rate is applied to the projected cases. The two dashed lines show what the projection tracks were 7 and 14 days ago. The 14 day line actually has several periods of projection going back 14 days each. The projection starts with actual values then uses simple mathematical model from there assuming no change in behavior, thus no change in the odds of infection except for effect of herd immunuity, which is simulated over time.
The death projection is based on cases and deaths will be reported in the future (see Days2death constant in About>Terminology. Currently 14 in this model).
This measure is not intended as prediction but more to show the past track and be something sensitive and responsive to changes in our collective behavior near-term that affects the virus spread/containment. This way maybe we can have feedback on the effects of what we are doing or not doing, and to earlier see adverse change in our state or county that may require more social distancing diligence, rather than waiting for deaths to get attention.
Welcome to the Covid Dashboard site.
Here you will find various measures and information put together based on current and recent changes in daily numbers including:
Wondering about current risk?:
CDC Deciding to go out, has link to guidance for fully vaccinated people and if you are not vaccinated, a link to find a vaccine.
Important Note/Disclaimer: This website was built from an informed layman viewpoint. It is not advice. It uses mathematical calculations, ballpark models and estimates to present coherent numbers over time in a meaningful way and to show current local status and relative progress, or not... Although, the measures and models may be only "in the ballpark" in absolute terms, it is good showing near-term relative change.