Vaccine Adverse Event Rate vs Covid

The intent of this page is to provide some comparison data indicative of the risk between getting the vaccine versus getting Covid, for those deciding whether or not to get vaccinated.

To make an apples to apples compare, these rates are not time oriented, rather the rates are per the risk event, i.e. the one time event of getting vaccinated, or, getting covid (reported cases).¹

The Covid risk specifically does not factor in the risk of getting virus in the first place. That is dependent on many other factors which are local and dependent on personal behaviors. The risk of getting the virus will likely not go away for many months though, if ever.

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Vaccine Adverse Effects - from CDC VAERS Reporting System

Vaers	Dec-Jun
Age	Vacinated	Hosp	Deaths	D w Hosp	%Hosp	%Death	%H or D
00-05	187,548	11	3	1	0.0059%	0.0016%	0.0069%	*
06-17	8,170,896	796	14	2	0.0097%	0.0002%	0.0099%	*
18-29	23,973,847	1719	71	14	0.0072%	0.0003%	0.0074%
30-39	22,979,881	2105	126	29	0.0092%	0.0005%	0.0096%
40-49	23,493,511	2514	206	44	0.0107%	0.0009%	0.0114%
50-64	43,102,144	5627	841	202	0.0131%	0.0020%	0.0145%
65+	44,968,737	10867	3896	1099	0.0242%	0.0087%	0.0304%
U		1347	392	43
Total	166,876,564	24986	5549	1434	0.0150%	0.0033%	0.0174%
Vac/month	23,839,509	Months	7
* 00-05 %s are low because using <12 vaccinated count (best available); 06-17, uses <18 vac count
06-17	7,983,348	796	14		0.0100%	0.0002%	0.0101%	**
** upper bound using vaccinated 12-17 cnt

Covid Case Mortality and Hospitalization compared to Vaccine's

Covid	last 4 weeks in January								Vaers
Age Grp	Rptd Cases	Hosp	Deaths	D w Hosp	Hosp %	Death %	H or D%		Age	%Death	%H or D
0 - 9	195,284	1,304	21	5	0.670%	0.010%	0.676%		00-05	0.0016%	0.0069%
10-19	416,111	1,912	41	11	0.460%	0.010%	0.467%		06-17	0.0002%	0.0099%
20 - 29	638,716	4,799	190	88	0.750%	0.030%	0.767%		18-29	0.0003%	0.0074%
30 - 39	564,138	6,863	456	237	1.220%	0.080%	1.255%		30-39	0.0005%	0.0096%
40 - 49	512,817	9,515	1,229	711	1.860%	0.240%	1.956%		40-49	0.0009%	0.0114%
50 - 59	508,125	16,501	3,376	2,086	3.250%	0.660%	3.501%		50-64	0.0020%	0.0145%
60 - 69	364,445	24,200	7,707	4,860	6.640%	2.110%	7.421%		65+	0.0087%	0.0304%
70 - 79	201,099	26,228	12,025	7,385	13.040%	5.980%	15.350%
80+	130,067	25,320	19,598	10,005	19.470%	15.070%	26.842%
All ages	3,579,144	116,750	44,650	25,389	3.260%	1.250%	3.800%		Total	0.0033%	0.0174%

Vaers	Dec-Apr
Age	Vacinated	Hosp	Deaths	D w Hosp	%Hosp	%Death	%H or D
00-05	8,480	8	3	1	0.0943%	0.0354%	0.1179%	*
06-17	1,840,639	122	8	2	0.0066%	0.0004%	0.0070%	*
18-29	16,817,798	1182	51	13	0.0070%	0.0003%	0.0073%
30-39	17,593,494	1705	94	26	0.0097%	0.0005%	0.0101%
40-49	18,559,522	2125	165	44	0.0114%	0.0009%	0.0121%
50-64	36,423,339	4913	719	195	0.0135%	0.0020%	0.0149%
65+	41,829,321	10410	3751	1089	0.0249%	0.0090%	0.0313%
U		1066	275	37
Total	133,072,593	21531	5066	1407	0.0162%	0.0038%	0.0189%
Vac/month	26,614,519	Months	5
* 00-05 %s are low because using <12 vaccinated count (best available); 06-17, uses <18 vac count
06-17	1,832,159	122	8		0.0067%	0.0004%	0.0071%	**
** upper bound using vaccinated 12-17 cnt

Vaers	May-Jun
Age	Vacinated	Hosp	Deaths	D w Hosp	%Hosp	%Death	%H or D
00-05	179,068	3	0	0	0.0017%	0.0000%	0.0017%	*
06-17	6,330,257	674	6	0	0.0106%	0.0001%	0.0107%	*
18-29	7,156,049	537	20	1	0.0075%	0.0003%	0.0078%
30-39	5,386,387	400	32	3	0.0074%	0.0006%	0.0080%
40-49	4,933,989	389	41	0	0.0079%	0.0008%	0.0087%
50-64	6,678,805	714	122	7	0.0107%	0.0018%	0.0124%
65+	3,139,416	457	145	10	0.0146%	0.0046%	0.0189%
U	0	281	117	6
Total	33,803,971	3455	483	27	0.0102%	0.0014%	0.0116%
Vac/month	16,901,986	Months	2
* 00-05 %s are low because using <12 vaccinated count (best available); 06-17, uses <18 vac count
06-17	6,151,189	674	6		0.0110%	0.0001%	0.0111%	**
** upper bound using vaccinated 12-17 cnt
using vac <12 and <18 should be pretty close because theoretically under 12 are not eligible for vaccine.
The <12 vaccinations may be trials? And in May-Jun may be using adjusted dosing to avoid adverse effects?