States with >10% increase in deaths in last 3 weeks
Dyr/100k is recent 7 days death count annualized. Compare to D/100K in 2017 table.
| State | Vac% | V65% | Dyr/100k | cur 7dD | 3wk min | +/-% | Dflgs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 42% | 75% | 738 | 694 | 150 | 362.7% | EEEA |
| Alaska | 50% | 81% | 570 | 81 | 9 | 800.0% | EAAA |
| Idaho | 42% | 80% | 476 | 163 | 46 | 254.3% | EEEA |
| South Carolina | 47% | 81% | 438 | 432 | 373 | 15.8% | EEEE |
| Tennessee | 45% | 78% | 434 | 568 | 235 | 141.7% | EEEA |
| West Virginia | 40% | 71% | 416 | 143 | 66 | 116.7% | EEEA |
| Montana | 48% | 81% | 415 | 85 | 18 | 372.2% | EEAA |
| Georgia | 45% | 76% | 386 | 786 | 581 | 35.3% | EEEE |
| Wyoming | 41% | 77% | 369 | 41 | 21 | 95.2% | EEEA |
| Texas | 51% | 79% | 368 | 2,049 | 1,596 | 28.4% | EEEE |
| Oklahoma | 47% | 80% | 327 | 248 | 193 | 28.5% | EEEE |
| Kentucky | 52% | 84% | 314 | 269 | 133 | 102.3% | EEEA |
| Nevada | 51% | 78% | 262 | 155 | 94 | 64.9% | EEEA |
| Indiana | 48% | 84% | 249 | 322 | 136 | 136.8% | EEEA |
| Arizona | 51% | 78% | 239 | 334 | 232 | 44.0% | EEAA |
| North Carolina | 50% | 80% | 238 | 478 | 365 | 31.0% | EEEA |
| Connecticut | 69% | 92% | 215 | 147 | 26 | 465.4% | H.A. |
| Kansas | 51% | 84% | 199 | 111 | 95 | 16.8% | AEEA |
| Washington | 61% | 88% | 190 | 277 | 171 | 62.0% | AAAA |
| New Mexico | 63% | 89% | 189 | 76 | 43 | 76.7% | AAAA |
| Virginia | 60% | 85% | 170 | 279 | 104 | 168.3% | AAAA |
| Missouri | 48% | 78% | 157 | 199 | 135 | 47.4% | AEEA |
| Hawaii | 58% | 86% | 155 | 42 | 32 | 31.2% | AEAA |
| South Dakota | 52% | 88% | 147 | 25 | 4 | 525.0% | AAA. |
| Iowa | 54% | 88% | 132 | 80 | 35 | 128.6% | AAAA |
| Nebraska | 55% | 88% | 129 | 48 | 14 | 242.9% | A..A |
| Utah | 50% | 83% | 124 | 76 | 51 | 49.0% | AAAA |
| Michigan | 52% | 84% | 123 | 236 | 153 | 54.2% | AAAA |
| Delaware | 57% | 87% | 123 | 23 | 11 | 109.1% | AAAA |
| Pennsylvania | 58% | 88% | 118 | 290 | 176 | 64.8% | AAAA |
| Wisconsin | 56% | 90% | 105 | 117 | 76 | 53.9% | AAAA |
| Minnesota | 58% | 89% | 104 | 112 | 45 | 148.9% | AAA. |
| North Dakota | 44% | 77% | 103 | 15 | 4 | 275.0% | AAA. |
| Vermont | 69% | 95% | 100 | 12 | 6 | 100.0% | AAA. |
| Illinois | 53% | 78% | 95 | 231 | 181 | 27.6% | AAAA |
| Maryland | 64% | 90% | 91 | 105 | 80 | 31.2% | AAAA |
| Colorado | 59% | 83% | 85 | 94 | 83 | 13.3% | AAAA |
| New Jersey | 64% | 86% | 82 | 140 | 97 | 44.3% | AAAA |
| Massachusetts | 68% | 89% | 74 | 98 | 52 | 88.5% | AAA. |
| Rhode Island | 68% | 94% | 74 | 15 | 9 | 66.7% | A.HA |
| Maine | 68% | 93% | 74 | 19 | 8 | 137.5% | AAA. |
| New York | 64% | 84% | 69 | 258 | 225 | 14.7% | AAAA |
| New Hampshire | 61% | 88% | 58 | 15 | 13 | 15.4% | AAA. |
| -fyi- US: | 56% | 83% | 217 | 13,871 | 10,540 | 31.6% | EEEA |
1. Include states only if 7 day death count is > 1 per day and annualized death rate is more than nominal accident rate, i.e. > 52
2. Dflgs last 4 weeks, most recent is first
Legend: see About>About>Terminology
and Legends
H or J - High death rate per cases; P - very high death rate in population; E - elevated death rate; A - death rate above accident; . - death rate below accident
7/18/21 Changed color range scale from 0-1000 to 0-400 to better contrast changes now that death rates are down.
2017 Death Rates from CDC
| Cause | D/100k | Avg 7d | #in 2017 | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Disease | 198 | 12,416 | 647,457 | 23.0% |
| Neoplasms/tumor | 183 | 11,489 | 599,108 | 21.3% |
| Accidents | 52 | 3,259 | 169,936 | 6.0% |
| Chronic Lung | 49 | 3,072 | 160,201 | 5.7% |
| Cerebrovascular | 44 | 2,807 | 146,383 | 5.2% |
| Alzheimer | 37 | 2,328 | 121,404 | 4.3% |
| Diabetes | 25 | 1,602 | 83,564 | 3.0% |
| Flu & pneumonia | 17 | 1,067 | 55,672 | 2.0% |
| Sephritis | 15 | 971 | 50,633 | 1.8% |
| Suicide | 14 | 904 | 47,173 | 1.7% |
| Liver disease | 12 | 800 | 41,743 | 1.5% |
| Septicemia | 12 | 784 | 40,922 | 1.5% |
| Hypertension | 10 | 677 | 35,316 | 1.3% |
| Parkinson | 9 | 612 | 31,963 | 1.1% |
| Pneumonitis | 6 | 385 | 20,108 | 0.7% |
| Other | 172 | 10,776 | 561,920 | 20.0% |
| All | 863 | 53,957 | 2,813,503 | 100.0% |
2017 table for information and comparison purposes
States with Increasing Covid-19 Death Toll1
Graphs of top 5 states with the highest deaths per 100K population.
Annualized 7dD/100k
# Deaths in last 7 days (7dD)
Footnotes:
- States above had least 10% increase in deaths in last week compared to the
minimum of last 3 weeks and its current 7-day annualized population death rate (7d/100k) is
greater than "accident" and there were more than 1 per day.
1a. Death rate on small counties when deaths are even just 1 or 2 gets to be huge when annualized. To be more realistic use the 3 week average instead of just 7 days for smaller counties. This is done to avoid giving too much weight to a few isolated deaths.
1b. US projection graph is shown just for reference.
1c. States shown in order of their current population death rate. ↩ - Sick Cases: the reported cases estimated to be roughly equivalent to original make up of cases early on. Early on cases were by and large limited to clinically sick. The estimation is done using current state's hospitalization and deeming an equivalent number of "sick" cases that would match the early on hospitalization rate. ↩
- Max Sick Cases: Assuming an average asymptomatic cases/sick cases factor, this is max sick cases before entire population would have been infected. ↩
Informed layman's viewpoint. See "About>About" for descriptions and information. Estimates and data smoothing are used to present coherent numbers from period to period. Informational only. Should not be relied upon as your sole source for decision making.